Low Risk for Enterprise
Austria
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Economic risk
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Business environment risk
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Political risk
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Commercial risk
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Financing risk
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Economic risk
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Business environment risk
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Political risk
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Commercial risk
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Financing risk
Economic Overview
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Cyclical risks
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Inflation
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Financing risks
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Structural business environment risks
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Political risks
Prior to the onset of the pandemic, Austria's GDP growth averaged at +1.5%, outperforming the Eurozone. However, in 2020, GDP fell by -6.5% as tourism collapsed, despite industrial resilience. This was followed by strong rebounds in 2021 and 2022, with growth of +5% and +5.5% respectively, fueled by easing supply-chain pressures, robust consumption, a solid labor market and high household savings. However, financial tightening, weak global demand and high inflationary pressures dampened private consumption in 2023, while uncertainty weighed on investments. This resulted in a two-year recession for the Austrian economy, characterized by a decline in manufacturing and a stable services sector, with a GDP contraction of -0.7% in 2023 and -0.8% in 2024. The downturn intensified in the second half of 2024, characterized by a decline in investment and weak demand for capital goods and machinery. Exports to Germany, Austria's most important trading partner, fell significantly. Many sectors remained under pressure as Austria experienced prolonged stagnation in the first half of 2025, with GDP remaining largely unchanged. Significant growth was finally seen in the third quarter, but this was mainly due to an increase in inventories. Overall, the economy is expected to remain largely flat, leading to overall growth of +0.6% in 2025. This is supported by continuous improvement in business sentiment throughout the year. Exports and gross industrial value added picked up again at the end of 2025, in line with the global economy. This will support capital investment but the construction industry will recover more slowly. Private household consumption is unlikely to gain much momentum. Against this backdrop, the domestic economy is expected to grow by +1.1% in 2026 and +1.3% in 2027, also benefiting from the German fiscal boost and the subsequent upswing in growth in Austria’s closest trade partner.
This challenging environment also impacted corporate insolvencies. In 2024, Austria saw a substantial +22% increase in insolvencies compared to the previous year, reaching record highs. However, growth in insolvencies slowed significantly in 2025, and is expected to decline by -5% in 2026 and -9% in 2027. The 2024 recession also took its toll on the labor market. While employment in Austria increased by 0.2% in 2024, driven by growth in the public services sector, there was a significant decline in manufacturing and construction. Unemployment rose from 6.4% in 2023 to 7% in 2024. After a peak in 2025, it is expected to fall moderately to 7.3% in 2026, supported by demographic change, and more sharply to 7% in 2027.
In 2024, the inflation rate fell sharply to +2.9%. However, the pace of decline slowed significantly in 2025. Due to the withdrawal of government support schemes (such as the electricity price cap), increased CO₂ pricing and higher network charges, energy prices rose markedly in January 2025, causing the inflation rate to rebound at the beginning of the year. It climbed to over +4% in the summer and remained at this level until the end of the year. On average, inflation was +3.5% in 2025. At the beginning of 2026, the impact of the January 2025 energy price increase will disappear, causing the inflation rate to fall by up to -1pp. Nevertheless, the higher overall inflation in the second half of 2025 will also carry over into the following year, meaning that inflation will decline slowly. The annual average is expected to be +2.4% in 2026 and to reach the target in 2027.
Public finances are under considerable pressure to consolidate. In 2024, Austria's fiscal deficit stood at -4.7% of GDP, following a deficit of -2.6% in 2023. The general government deficit narrowed only slightly in 2025, remaining above the 3% Maastricht threshold. Despite the new government's fiscal-consolidation efforts, including EUR4bn in deficit-reduction measures (e.g. abolishing climate bonuses and raising indirect taxes), the impact is limited due to modest cuts in government consumption and investment. There is also upward pressure from weak economic conditions, rising unemployment-related spending, declining EU transfers and dividends, higher interest costs and increased defense spending. By 2026, further fiscal adjustments and improving macroeconomic conditions should lower the deficit to -4.2%, and it should fall further to -4.0% in 2027.
The Austrian business environment proves strong: the country scores very well in regulatory quality, rule of law and control of corruption. In addition to its strategic location in Europe and high-quality infrastructure, Austria offers a skilled workforce and robust legal framework.
Austria has a federal, parliamentary republic system with power divided between the federal and nine provincial levels (Bundesländer). Its democratic government operates on separation of powers and a multi-party Parliament with to chambers (Nationalrat and Bundesrat), ensuring representation and checks and balances, as established by its Constitution. In Austria's 2024 election, the far-right FPÖ won nearly one-third of the vote, gaining support from former ÖVP voters and encouraging non-voters to participate. However, they failed to form a coalition. Despite their victory, both the ÖVP and the SPÖ rejected the idea of cooperating with the FPÖ. After months of deadlock, Austria formed its first three-party government since World War II, led by Christian Stocker of the ÖVP and including the SPÖ and liberal NEOS. This new coalition brings to an end the country’s longest government formation process. Austria will hold general elections again in 2029.
Jasmin Gröschl, Senior Economist for Europe
Updated in January 2026
General information
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| Form of state | Parliamentary republic |
| Head of government | Christian Stocker (Chancellor) |
| Next elections | 2028, presidential |
Strengths & Weaknesses
Strengths
- High productivity level
- Low income inequality
- Low unemployment
Weaknesses
- High export dependence
- Elevated public debt
- Unfavorable demographics
Trade Structure by destination/origin
Trade Structure by product
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